Report
Instagram ReelPolitics@Manish Sharma
Misleading

Listed protests occurred. No source shows any US six-step manual or its use in India.

  • Wrong: Trump spoke at the White House in February 2025. His second inaugural address was on 20 January 2025.
  • No record found: Step three of the manual is underway in India via Gen Z Instagram demands. No source establishes any numbered step or manual.
  • Prediction or opinion: 'In the coming few weeks or months the situation in India can turn violent' is a prediction.

Checked against: TheCommuneMag, The Conversation, ryangrim.substack.com, PBS News, en.wikipedia.org

Why we say that›

Reel fabricates a numbered US regime change manual from real but separate events.

One diplomat meeting and several protests are real. The reel wrongly frames them as coordinated steps in a nonexistent US manual.

The facts don't add up to the point it's making

Each listed protest and one meeting occurred. No source shows any numbered US manual or coordinated execution.

What it leaves out

Reel shows only fallen leaders with 'GONE' stamps and omits any counter-examples.

Reported 18 Oct 2026

How the reel gets there

Stronger words than the record

The reel says: “किसी country की सरकार गिरानी है? उसका एक manual है just six steps और पिछले four years में यह manual हमारे neighborhood में चार बार successfully execute हो चुका है.”

The record shows: Sources describe independent local protests and one US diplomatic cable in Pakistan without evidence of a unified US-written six-step manual applied to these cases.

TheCommuneMag · The Conversation · ryangrim.substack.com · en.wikipedia.org

Claims

1 false · 1 true · 18 no record

  • False

    Trump spoke at the White House in February 2025.

    What we found

    The second inaugural address on 20 January 2025, not February.

  • No record found

    A six-step manual for regime change has been successfully executed four times in India's neighborhood in the last four years.

    What we found

    The sources reviewed establish individual events in Sri Lanka, Bangladesh and Nepal but do not establish any six-step US manual or its execution four times.

  • No record found

    In India step three of the regime change manual is currently underway.

    What we found

    No source establishes a numbered regime-change manual or that India is in step three of one.

  • No record found

    The four regime changes shown are Sri Lanka 2022, Pakistan 2022, Bangladesh 2024, Nepal 2025.

    What we found

    Whether the four regime changes include Pakistan 2022 alongside Sri Lanka 2022, Bangladesh 2024 and Nepal 2025 remains unsettled.

  • True

    On 7 March 2022 American diplomat Donald Lu met Pakistan's ambassador and, according to leaked cables, said if a no-confidence vote against Imran Khan passed, the US would support it.

    What we found

    The content of the leaked cable concerning the US diplomat's meeting and remarks on the no-confidence vote.

+15 smaller points we found no record of›
  • No record found

    Step one of the regime change process is to pick an issue or grievance.

    What we found

    No source establishes any numbered US step-one doctrine.

  • No record found

    In Sri Lanka the grievance used was food and fuel shortage.

    What we found

    Whether food and fuel shortage served as the grievance in Sri Lanka remains unsettled.

  • No record found

    In Bangladesh the grievance used was job quota.

    What we found

    Whether job quota served as the grievance in Bangladesh remains unsettled.

  • No record found

    In Nepal the grievance used was social media ban.

    What we found

    Whether social media ban served as the grievance in Nepal remains unsettled.

  • No record found

    Step two is to form groups including NGOs, independent pages, Instagram creators and student leaders already prepared.

    What we found

    No source establishes any numbered US step-two doctrine.

  • No record found

    Step two includes manipulating social media algorithms and avoiding having one face so no one can be caught.

    What we found

    No source establishes any numbered US step-two doctrine.

  • No record found

    Step three is to break trust in the system by convincing people elections are rigged and courts are bought.

    What we found

    No source establishes any numbered US step-three doctrine.

  • No record found

    Step three includes showing a lost election as evidence so everything looks true.

    What we found

    No source establishes any numbered US step-three doctrine.

  • No record found

    Step four is to trap the government in a place where it loses from every side.

    What we found

    No source establishes any numbered US step-four doctrine.

  • No record found

    Step four leads to capturing the entire country.

    What we found

    No source establishes any numbered US step-four doctrine.

  • No record found

    In India a Gen Z Instagram page is demanding the resignation of the chief election commissioner, previously EVMs, then the election commission, and now the country's chief justice.

    What we found

    Demands for the Chief Election Commissioner resignation but does not establish the Gen-Z Instagram page or the described EVM-to-CJI sequence.

  • No record found

    Step #04: Set the Trap. Government को हर तरफ से फँसाओ.

    What we found

    No source establishes any numbered US step-four doctrine or this phrasing.

  • No record found

    In Spain housing protests led to early elections.

    What we found

    On Spanish events but does not establish the specific causal link to early elections.

  • No record found

    In France school children are on the streets and more than 6000 have been arrested.

    What we found

    On French events but does not establish the arrest figure or framing.

  • No record found

    In Chile there was a students' march and an American website headline said 'this is going global'.

    What we found

    On protests but does not establish the headline or framing.

The full story, from the sources›

A government ban on 26 social media apps… triggered widespread protests… Prime Minister, KP Sharma Oli, resigned on September 9. - The Conversation lists historical U.S. regime-change operations but does not address the four named 2022-2025 cases. - en.wikipedia.org State Department encouraged the Pakistani government in a March 7, 2022, meeting to remove Imran Khan as prime minister over his neutrality on the Russian invasion of Ukraine, according to a classified Pakistani government document obtained by The Intercept. - ryangrim.substack.com (2023-08-09) PBS, Guardian, White House (no passage supplied). - PBS News (2025-01-20) The cycle began in Sri Lanka in 2022… Bangladesh in 2024… Nepal has joined the arc of crisis… Prime Minister Olis own exit. - TheCommuneMag (2025-09-09)

From reporting

Predictions and opinions in it (2)›
  • Prediction: In the coming few weeks or months the situation in India can turn violent.
  • Prediction: What Comes Next? Violent? (next few weeks / months)
How it's framed (5)›
Angry wording - Title 'THE REGIME CHANGE MANUAL' presented as a classified 'TOP SECRET' document with red 'GONE' stamps over leaders' photos.
Clips cut to suit the story - Only shows images of fallen leaders with 'GONE' stamps; omits any counter-examples or successful governments.
Fear appeal - Final slide asks 'VIOLENT?' in large red letters and predicts violence 'in the next few weeks / months'.
Only two options offered - Presents events as part of a single coordinated 'manual' rather than separate domestic political crises.
Guessing at motives - US written six-step manual for regime change
Sources (5)›
Notes on this check (1)›
  • Some spoken passages were excluded because their transcription was uncertain; those assertions were not checked.

Checked against 5 sources · 18 Oct 2026

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